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Analysis: After years of drift, 2025 brings thaw in Pak-US ties

Analysis: After years of drift, 2025 brings thaw in Pak-US ties

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December 28, 2025
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Analysis: After years of drift, 2025 brings thaw in Pak-US ties
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• Trump-Munir meeting reshapes diplomatic tone
• Analysts caution against jumping to conclusions as ties rely on ‘personal relationship’

THE year 2025 will be remembered in Islamabad and Was­hington as a period of surprising warmth in bilateral ties, marked by high-level engagement, strategic recalibrations, and complex regional developments.

After years of drift, Pakistan-US relations saw a notable thaw, but beneath the optimism lies a layered and complex reality shaped by history, personalities, and shifting global alignments — prompting analysts to urge restraint in reading the moment as a lasting reset.

The year’s diplomacy pivoted with an unprecedented White House meeting between President Donald Trump and Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, widely viewed as a game-changer. The meeting set the tone for renewed engagement and discussions on trade, security, and regional diplomacy.

Sherry Rehman, federal minister and former ambassador to Washington, described the shift as personality-driven but consequential.

“In both countries, particularly in Washington, leading personalities have swung the pendulum back toward a warming of ties,” she said.

She noted that the “Trump-Munir bromance” was a key ingredient in reshaping the dynamic, while other strategic plays had also tilted the graph to an upward trend.

Ms Rehman noted that the relationship would be best served by embedding it in the firm ground of strong commercial and economic ties.

She highlighted the US investment in Pakistan’s mineral sector as a potential anchor for long-term engagement.

“The scale of investments, their contractual longevity, and capacity to generate local jobs will be critical in determining the trajectory of ties.”

On broader foreign policy, she noted: “Pakistan’s interests will be best realised by maintaining a classic policy balance amid growing multipolarity and conflict in global affairs.”

She added that Islamabad should continue retaining its “bedrock friendship” with Beijing while avoiding being caught in any zero-sum competition arising between two leading global powers.

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